It’s easy to look back at history and think it was always going to turn out as it did. Most people with a little economic literacy can kind of come up with a sentence or two about why the 2008 economic crisis was inevitable, for example, or why the dot-com bust was clear as day. Of course, the people who actually saw those events around the corner became very rich and got their faces on magazine covers, their stories in books, and Tom Cruise playing out their story on the big screen. None of that happened to you, did it?
Fortunately, politics is a little easier, and if you can pull your head out of the polls, look at the candidates for who they actually are, and talk to normal people, you can make a pretty strong guess on where they’re going. Bear with me here and take a look at the last half-century of American politics.
Former Fox News kingpin Roger Ailes had a rule about on-screen talent: women you’d be friends with (or date) and men you’d want to have a beer with (or date).